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Ravens Facing Potential Lamar Jackson Nightmare Scenario

Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens
David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson heads into the 2026 season with more control over his future than most NFL stars ever get, and that leverage has former players and analysts warning the franchise could face a messy 2027 offseason.

The two-time MVP did not sign a contract extension during the most recent offseason. That leaves him in the final year of his deal and puts the Ravens in a familiar but uncomfortable spot: pay him, trade him, or watch the cap numbers become unmanageable.

Former NFL defensive back Domonique Foxworth said the team faces a “very real chance” Jackson is gone after this season. Foxworth argued Jackson has arranged his situation so that he, not the club, holds the strongest hand.

“Most of the time great quarterbacks don’t become free agents, but normally they get to the end of their contract and the team has some leverage in a franchise tag or some way to be able to start negotiations, or like Mahomes and Allen, they just renegotiate way ahead of time. The idea that Lamar had all that leverage, like, I don’t think it’s coincidence that Lamar had all that leverage or has all that leverage headed into this season, and then a lot of changes were made,” Foxworth said.

“So like, that’s the thing that I have my eye on, that Lamar is doing a very NBA — it feels like he’s put himself in a very NBA-style situation where it’s like— yeah, I can do what I want at the end of this season. So let’s get it right. So that to me is huge. ‘Cause they’re not gonna, I mean, they’re not gonna cut him, but they also can’t exist with a player with an $80 million cap hit next year. So like at the end of this season, he can decide what he wants to do.”

Those comments landed because they match the numbers. An $80 million cap charge is the kind of figure that forces a front office to choose quickly. Cutting Jackson is not realistic. Keeping him on that number is also not realistic. That leaves extension talks or a trade.

Jackson has been the face of the franchise since Baltimore drafted him in the first round in 2018. He has four Pro Bowl selections, three first-team All-Pro honors and two league MVP awards. Those credentials are why every team in the league would pick up the phone if the Ravens ever shopped him.

Last season did not go as planned. The Ravens finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs. Jackson dealt with injuries that limited what the offense could do. He still threw 21 touchdowns against seven interceptions.

That mix of production and availability is part of why contract talks stalled. Baltimore wants its franchise quarterback locked up. Jackson wants a deal that matches his value and the risk he takes as a dual-threat passer.

If no agreement comes together, Jackson could push for a trade. Sitting out would hurt Baltimore more than it would hurt a quarterback already in the last year of his contract. The Ravens would then have to decide whether to extract draft capital rather than lose him for nothing.

Front offices around the NFL would line up. A package of first-round picks would be on the table. Baltimore has no interest in that outcome. Jackson has defined the team for eight seasons, and the organization still sees him as the player who can deliver a Super Bowl.

The tension is that Jackson may not feel the same way. After a disappointing year and no new contract, he can wait until after the 2026 season and then dictate terms.

That is the nightmare scenario Foxworth described. The Ravens can still avoid it by getting a deal done. They also cannot ignore that Jackson now has the kind of freedom usually reserved for NBA superstars who reach the end of a deal with no franchise tag hanging over them.

The next few months will show whether both sides still want the same future in Baltimore. If they do not, 2027 will not be a quiet offseason.

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